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In view of the increasing use of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models in the macroeconomic projections and the policy process, this paper examines, both conceptually and empirically, alternative notions of potential output within DSGE models. Furthermore, it provides historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009402034
We use a standard quantitative business cycle model with nominal price and wage rigidities to estimate two measures of economic inefficiency in recent U.S. data: the output gap: the gap between the actual and efficient levels of output -- and the labor wedge -- the wedge between households'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014188955
We propose a theoretical framework to reconcile episodes of V-shaped and L-shaped recovery, encompassing the behaviour of the U.S. economy before and after the Great Recession. In a DSGE model with endogenous growth, negative demand shocks destroy productive capacity, moving GDP to a lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599194
In this paper we propose a novel way to model the labor market in the context of a New-Keynesian general equilibrium model, incorporating labor market frictions in the form of hiring and firing costs. We show that such a model is able to replicate many important stylized facts of the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937114
output, a phenomenon termed as "output hysteresis." In the model, incomplete stabilization of a temporary shortfall in demand … hysteresis is contingent on the monetary policy rule. When the nominal interest rate is constrained at the zero lower bound, a … central bank unable to commit to future policy actions suffers from "hysteresis bias": it does not offset past losses in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911738
-emergence of the Blanchard-Summers' hysteresis debate and a new business cycle paradigm in which the short-term output effects of … hysteresis into the estimation of potential output and the output and unemployment gaps. The results suggest non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824904
In this paper we propose a novel way to model the labor market in the context of a New-Keynesian general equilibrium model, incorporating labor market frictions in the form of hiring and firing costs. We show that such a model is able to replicate many important stylized facts of the business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316264
We introduce skill decay during unemployment into Blanchard and Gali's (2008) New-Keynesian model with hiring frictions and real-wage rigidity. Plausible values of quarterly skill decay and real-wage rigidity turn the long-run marginal cost-unemployment relationship positive in a "European"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596398
output, a phenomenon termed as output hysteresis. In the model, incomplete stabilization of a temporary shortfall in demand … bound (ZLB), optimal commitment policy sets interest rates to eliminate output hysteresis. A strict in ation targeting rule … sub-optimal and admits output hysteresis. A new policy rule that targets output hysteresis returns the output to the pre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101398
This paper builds a micro-founded general equilibrium model of hysteresis in which changing composition of firms with … "creative destruction". Hysteresis fundamentally challenges existing consensus on stabilization policies: the complete …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238148