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From a retrospective perspective, effective future fiscal cooperation in Europe is not likely to stand a chance. Focusing on the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP, the Pact), this paper studies the determinants of national policymakers' changing commitment to a multilateral fiscal rule, referred to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746999
One of the most controversial issues in public finance and macroeconomics is the nature of the relationship between government spending and revenues. The debate between economists and politicians has been emphasised recently because of the increased budget deficits and defaults in many developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480257
The recent fears of a sovereign debt crisis have spurred interest in the sustainability of public debt. There are two different approaches to the assessment of sustainability: the use of sustainability gap indicators (Blanchard et al., 1990) and the time series approach (Trehan and Walsh, 1988)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106545
The Global Financial Crisis has typically led to a significant widening of fiscal positions (i.e., higher budget deficits and public debt). We address the sustainability of public finances in Portuguese-speaking African countries (PALOP), through adequate econometric testing. Our findings for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951578
Fiscal policy has much controversial debate regarding its effectiveness on private investment. Taxation and government expenditure are two main instruments of fiscal policy. This paper is aimed to analyze the effect of fiscal deficit and other variables on private investment of Pakistan. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040573
This paper assesses Costa Rica's public debt sustainability empirically using three complementary approaches: the calculation of the debt-stabilizing primary fiscal balance obtained from the government's intertemporal budget constraint, the estimation of the parameters of a fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545620
This paper analyzes the sustainability of Costa Rican sovereign debt within the intertemporal budget constraint framework, which is complemented with the estimation of the fiscal reaction function and a risk assessment under the fan chart methodology using annual data from 1974 until 2018....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587645
Thanks to various Fourier DF unit root tests, time-varying fiscal reaction functions and threshold regressions, this study examines the stationarity and the sustainability of public finance for six industrial countries over the period spanning from 1870 to 2017. Longer-run debt sustainability is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292090
This paper estimates the time-varying reactions of fiscal behaviours, relating the cyclical adjusted primary balance to the output gap and debt variations for EMU countries for the period 1999-2012 using quarterly data. We estimated these behaviours using a Kalman Filter-Maximum Likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079025
Does a multilateral fiscal rule improve market discipline in a monetary union? This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on EMU sovereign default risk for the period 2001 to 2005. For various EMU member countries our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656350