The log-normal Garman and Kohlhagen (1983) currency option model usually creates pricing biases when matched with the market prices. The observed price bias pattern is generally consistent with the mixed jump-diffusion distribution for exchange rates. Various studies have provided evidence of...

The log-normal Garman and Kohlhagen (1983) currency option model usually creates pricing biases when matched with the market prices. The observed price bias pattern is generally consistent with the mixed jump-diffusion distribution for exchange rates. Various studies have provided evidence of...

In our analysis, we describe and compare indicators regularly used in the course of money market monitoring, identifying the positions of FX market participants where co-movement with the forint exchange rate is most commonly observed. The correlation between the exchange rate and quantity...

This paper presents new stylized facts about exchange rates and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals. We show that macroeconomic surprises explain a large majority of the variation in nominal exchange rate changes at a quarterly frequency. Using a novel present value decomposition...

This paper presents new stylized facts about exchange rates and their relationship with macroeconomic fundamentals. We show that macroeconomic surprises explain a large majority of the variation in nominal exchange rate changes at a quarterly frequency. Using a novel present value decomposition...

This is the first study that employs option pricing model to measure the position-unwinding risk of currency carry trade portfolios, which covers moment information as the proxy for crash risk. We show that high interest-rate currencies are exposed to higher position-unwinding risk than low...