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projections. The range of several CO2 emission scenarios (e.g., from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios) misses potentially … important tails of our projected probability density function. Studies that have interpreted the range of CO2 emission scenarios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634613
The links between climate issues and sustainable development are manifold. Given these interconnections, the lack of close integration of the sustainable development and climate change literatures is puzzling; part of the reason for this lack of connectivity may be the very different research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225854
storylines. Second, the major driving forces that shape and characterise the different scenarios will be identified. The scenario … component within RHM. The scenario analysis will be the basis and source for the development of own RHM-framework scenarios and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227343
scenarios, each with an attached probability. The basic idea is to estimate the distribution of forecast errors and use that to … construct the scenarios. Although sampling from the distribution of errors comes immediately to mind, we propose instead to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011241044
development of scenarios in combination with Delphi-like iterative questionnaires is described, showing how the gathering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011139518
Asian countries have the ability to dramatically improve their standards of living in coming decades, so much so that by 2050 the “converging†middle-income countries could become affluent societies. Historically, however, many fast-growing countries have stagnated upon reaching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011139774
One of the challenges of financial stability analysis and bank stress testing is how to establish scenarios with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142079
remains within a prespecified range), in a variety of environments (scenarios). For this investigation, the paper introduces a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011092276
This paper has a twofold objective: First, to estimate the changes in landings value by 2030 for two Mexican coastal fisheries, specifically shrimp and sardine fisheries, as a consequence of climate change; and second, to discuss the implications of such impacts for food security. A dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010981393
the heavy commercial Internet content delivery. To bound the uncertainties, four possible future scenarios are constructed … and their effect on the key stakeholders is described briefly. The value of identifying the future scenarios is to define …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983876