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This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074792
Since 2009, stock markets have resided in a long bull market regime. Passive investment strategies have succeeded during this low-volatility growth period. From 2018 on, however, there was a transition into a more volatile market environment interspersed by corrections increasing in amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419688
The aim of the presented study was to assess the quality of VaR forecasts in various states of the economic situation … movements. While in the pre-crisis period the results were satisfactory, in the period of crisis VaR forecasts were too often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302139
Financial risk modeling and management are very important and challenging tasks for financial institutions’ quantitative units. Owing to the complex nature of portfolios, and given recent financial market developments, contemporary research is focused on tail modeling and/or dependency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686516
, both univariate (ARCH - GARCH) and multivariate (VAR), are used to estimate the effect foreign portfolio flows on the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010762786
Regulators have traditionally used simple models to measure the capital adequacy of banks. The growing internationalisation and universalisation of banking operations have meant that the same is no longer possible, as banks face increasing, and increasingly opaque, market risk. The significance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089344
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to asset management are predicated on the importance of jumps, or discontinuous movements in asset returns. In light of this, a number of recent papers have addressed volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334248
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662515
This paper analyzes the performance of temporal fusion transformers in forecasting realized volatilities of stocks listed in the S&P 500 in volatile periods by comparing the predictions with those of state-of-the-art machine learning methods as well as GARCH models. The models are trained on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014000512
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755372