The recent implementation of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) in January 2005 created new financial risks for emitting firms. To deal with these risks, options are traded since October 2006. Because the EU ETS is a new market, the relevant underlying model for option pricing is still a...

This book is a collaborative effort from three workshops held over the last three years, all involving principal contributors to the vine-copula methodology. Research and applications in vines have been growing rapidly and there is now a growing need to collate basic results, and standardize...

We introduce a model-free approach based on {\it excursions} of trading signals for analyzing the risk and return for a broad class of dynamic trading strategies, including pairs trading and other statistical arbitrage strategies. We propose a mathematical framework for the risk analysis of such...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

In this study, we adopted the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model for real-time identification and monitoring of Bitcoin bubbles and crashes using different time scale data and proposed the modified Lagrange regularization method to alleviate the impact of potential LPPLS model...

We used the log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to systematically investigate the 2020 stock market crash in the U.S. equities sectors using the Wilshire 5000 Total Market index, the S&P 500 index, the S&P MidCap 400 index, and the Russell 2000 index. During the crash, all...

We applied the Log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze the performances of the 10 major global stock market indexes from both developed and emergent stock markets in the 2020 global stock market. The results show that the crashes for the 7 indexes: SP500, DJIA, NASDAQ,...

In this study, we perform a novel analysis of the 2015 financial bubble in the Chinese stock market by calibrating the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model to two important Chinese stock indices, SSEC and SZSC, from early 2014 to June 2015. The back tests of the 2015 Chinese stock...

This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...