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We analyze the impact of unanticipated monetary policy changes on equity returns and document that financially constrained firms earn a significantly lower return following rate increases as compared to unconstrained firms. Trading volume is significantly lower for constrained firms on FOMC...
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Bad contagion, the downside component of contagion in international stock markets, has negative implications for financial stability. I propose a measure for the occurrence and severity of global contagion that combines the factor-model approach in Bekaert et al. (2005) with the model-free or...
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We infer the forward-looking Bitcoin risk premium from options contracts. Using data from 2018 to 2020, we show that the expected excess returns for Bitcoin are time-varying and significantly higher than in equities or gold, averaging almost 80% per annum. A temporal analysis of the term...
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Asset growth has been shown to be negatively associated with future returns. Cooper, Gulen, and Schill (2008. Asset Growth and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance) argue that an aggregation of all asset growth components as total asset (TA) growth leads to the strongest...
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This paper aims to examine the return asymmetry in commodity futures. Instead of using skewness as a proxy for the return asymmetry, we rely on a new asymmetric measure IE, that uses the difference between upside and downside return probabilities to capture the degree of asymmetry and has a low...
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