This paper aims to contribute to a better understanding on how inflation targets are set. For this reason, we first gather evidence from official central bank and government publications and from a questionnaire sent to central banks on how inflation targets are set; we then estimate the...

This article describes a method for assessing the position of the Czech economy in the financial cycle. On the basis of selected variables tracking risks in the financial sector and the real economy, we construct an indicator aimed at signalling the emergence of future problems in timely...

From a general perspective, collateralisation of exposures is a key tool for mitigating the idiosyncratic risks of financial institutions. If, however, the use of collateral in the financial system exceeds a certain threshold it can pose a risk to financial stability. Collateral use is...

Developments in the commercial property market are an important factor affecting financial stability, especially given their effect on the probability of default of non-financial corporations. This article analyses the development of the office property markets in five central European countries...

In this article we simulate how much the capital of a parent bank must be increased above the minimum capital requirement applying to the parent alone as a result of a requirement being imposed on the banking group as a whole, and how the probability of failure of a subsidiary and the group...

Macroeconomic forecasters are often criticized for a lack of transparency when presenting their forecasts. To deter such criticism, the transparency of the forecasting process should be enhanced by tracing and explaining the effects of data revisions and expert judgment updates on variations in...

This study examines the use of the exchange rate by the Czech National Bank as a monetary policy instrument at the zero lower bound on interest rates. It provides a review of the economic literature on unconventional monetary policy instruments and particularly on the possibility of using the...

This paper focuses on the current issues linked to the goals of banking regulation and supervision. The banking supervision policy carried out in transition countries – Central and Eastern Europe – takes into account a range of specific phenomena. The key distinctive factor of...

Currency substitution appears to be an important issue affecting the design of monetary policy, especially in transition economies. Therefore, this paper strives to analyse the particular relevance of the currency substitution phenomenon in the Czech Republic’s case. We initially discuss...

This is a study of what asset price can tell us about the evolving credibility of the monetary policy of the Czech National Bank (CNB). From the beginning of the 1990s, several market economies adopted direct inflation targeting (DIT). The focus of our analysis is to examine the effect of...