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In the paper we have investigated to what extent the behaviour of CPI inflation depends on changes in domestic economic … price indices respond to exchange rate movements and/or foreign inflation. The impact of exchange rate is most substantial … indices for items sensitive to domestic economic activity and formed an index which, taking into account uncertainty and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667394
inflation, we examine models of inflation that do and do not use the output gap. The Phillips curve, which relates inflation to … real activity, is regarded as the maintained theory of inflation. Models of inflation without the output gap include the … paper examines ten different models of inflation and estimates sixty-seven different specifications, some of which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014113863
The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective … exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose …, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model with time varying transition probabilities to a generic inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778498
The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective … exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose …, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model with time varying transition probabilities to a generic inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010779963
The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective … exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose …, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model with time varying transition probabilities to a generic inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781916
This study briefly presents theoretical aspects related to the relationship between inflation and economic growth and … temper the rise in inflation (as would have been the case if a speed limit effect was present) but which would have induced … public the state of the economy in order to timely anchor the inflation expectations. This is a very important aspect, since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820383
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
and a smooth estimated trend. Based on output growth and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268018
and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap estimates from policy institutions, they find that real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992411
estimated trend. Based on output growth and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap estimates from policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233667