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Dornbusch’s exchange rate overshooting hypothesis (1976) is a central building block in international macroeconomics. This paper analyzes the effects of monetary and other macroeconomic shocks on the real exchange rate in the case of a small economy like Argentina. The paper uses SVAR models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536983
Dornbusch’s exchange rate overshooting hypothesis (1976) is a central building block in international macroeconomics. This paper analyzes the effects of monetary and other macroeconomic shocks on the real exchange rate in the case of a small economy like Argentina. The paper uses SVAR models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308137
This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel´s hypothesis (1986-2006): low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542672
This work analyzes the relationship between real interest rates and commodity prices. According to Frankel’s hypothesis (1986-2006): "low real interest rates lead to high real commodity prices". However, some empirical evidence suggests that commodity prices can predict monetary policy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542684
Objective: The objective of the article is to measure the magnitude of the long-term exchange rate price and output … the Heritage Foundation database. Research Design & Methods: To analyse long-term price and output effects, the … output, with the former becoming stronger over the low-inflationary 2010-2019 period. Among other results, there was a trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231475
whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299137
The concept of causality introduced by Wiener (1956) and Granger (1969) is defined in terms of predictability one period ahead. This concept can be generalized by considering causality at a given horizon h, and causality up to any given horizon h [Dufour and Renault (1998)]. This generalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111024
whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money-output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533639
This paper tries to answer the long-standing question of whether money causes output. Instead of focusing on domestic … monetary policy and output, we analyze U.S. monetary policy and its possible effects on real output in China. Our results … indicate that the main monetary instrument in the U.S., the Federal Fund Rate, Granger causes China’s output. A second monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999560
We propose methods for testing hypothesis of non-causality at various horizons, as defined in Dufour and Renault (1998, Econometrica). We study in detail the case of VAR models and we propose linear methods based on running vector autoregressions at different horizons. While the hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100843