Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the … educational attainment projections according to four widely differing education scenarios. The results show the possible range of …

This paper proposes to critically examine the United Nations projections on urbanisation. Both the estimates of current … alternative hypothesis. Projections are proposed using a polynomial model and compared to the UN projections, which are based on a … linear model. The conclusion is that UN projections may overestimate the urban population for the year 2030 by almost one …

projections or simulations that need time-varying sex-age-specific o/e rates of marital status transitions. …

increase in obesity, the steady decline in tobacco consumption, and the well known patterns of smooth mortality age profiles … identical to the Social Security Administration projection and 2.0 years less than U.S. Census projections. We show that these …

Sex, age, education, marital status, obesity, and smoking have been found to affect health transitions between non …