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We model the demand-pressure effect on prices when options cannot be perfectly hedged. The model shows that demand pressure in one option contract increases its price by an amount proportional to the variance of the unhedgeable part of the option. Similarly, the demand pressure increases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067592
This study compares the performances of neural network and Black-Scholes models in pricing BIST30 (Borsa Istanbul) index call and put options with different volatility forecasting approaches. Since the volatility is the key parameter in pricing options, GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334825
We estimate in this paper the market risk implied by the prices of different options traded in the Brazilian stock market. The fundamental theory to handle this problem is the one implied by the Arrow-Debreu contingent claim concept. Using that theory, we are able to construct the term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005168957
In this addendum to Carey (2005), we draw several more analogies with the Black-Scholes model. We derive the characteristic function of the underlying log process as a function of the volatilities of all orders. Option prices are shown to satisfy an infinite-order version of the Black-Scholes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623517
This paper proposes a method for constructing a volatility risk premium, or investor risk aversion, index. The method is intuitive and simple to implement, relying on the sample moments of the recently popularized model-free realized and option-implied volatility measures. A small-scale Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114112
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U.S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008475
In this paper, we examine the effects of expected and surprise components in Federal funds target rate changes on realized and implied volatility. We find that surprise changes in the target rate significantly increase volatility. Consistent with the efficient market hypothesis, our analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942975
We examine the presence and performance of volatility arbitrage opportunities around earnings announcements using daily ELW (equity linked warrant) trade data in the Korean market. We find that volatilities drift in a predictable and monotonic fashion, which is different from findings in prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636099
We examine the effects of limited investor attention on stock returns by using Google search volume index to measure investor attention. We also investigate whether national culture and market development have any role in this relationship. We find that the impact of investor attention on stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334805