We consider the model risk inherent in the valuation procedure of fossil power plants. To capture model risk we use risk-capturing functionals, a methodology recently established in a series of papers. As gas-fired power plants are seen as flexible and low-carbon sources of electricity which are...

There has been a widely participated debate about whether the rather unusual volatilities in the world commodity markets around 2008 could be attributed to ‘overspeculation'. This paper managed to shed some new light on this by measuring the extent to which the capital inflows and outflows...

This paper determines the convenience yield implied in the European natural gas markets and investigates driving factors and according dynamics. For this, we approximate the convenience yield via an option-based approach, in which the convenience yield is determined as the difference between two...

This paper introduces a novel method for pricing commodity index derivatives consistently with market prices of derivatives on single commodities. We discuss the Black, mean-reversion and local volatility pricing models with special attention paid to the parameterization of volatility surfaces....

The relationships between crude and product prices are crucial throughout oil markets and especially so within the refining industry, where they define the refinery margin between cost of inputs (crudes) and value of outputs (products). The oil market is global but regional factors are also...

We construct a uniquely detailed, comprehensive dataset of trader positions in U.S. energy futures markets. We find considerable changes in the make-up of the open interest between 2000 and 2010 and show that these changes impact asset pricing. Specifically, dynamic conditional correlations...

This paper theoretically and empirically revisits carbon pricing from the supply-side perspective for carbon assets to solve a recent low price issue, which may delay the development of emission reduction technologies in the sense of marginal abatement costs. We propose a carbon pricing model...

This paper contributes to the ongoing discussion on price formation in electricity markets. For this, we conduct an analysis of the German electricity wholesale spot market which is located at the European Energy Exchange (EEX). Our dataset covers three spot market segments, namely the intraday...

Numerous participants in the energy industry require the computation of coefficients of correlation in a large-industry portfolio. Addressing the specifics of the crude-oil futures contracts, this paper proposes and implements a simple intuitive procedure that reduces the cross-maturity...

Using a detailed data set of electricity forward prices in Central Europe, we compute the intra-day risk premium and market price of risk for the two electricity exchanges European Energy Exchange (EEX) and Energy Exchange Austria (EXAA). Given the significant volatility and jump risk of...