We review a large body of the empirical literature focusing on the relation between petroleum product prices and oil prices and discuss the evidence on the direction of causality between crude oil prices and petroleum product prices. In addition, we survey the literature on the much-debated...

In this paper we introduce the dynamic semiparametric factor model (DSFM) for electricity forward curves. The biggest advantage of our approach is that it not only leads to smooth, seasonal forward curves extracted from exchange traded futures and forward electricity contracts, but also to a...

Geopolitical events are widely reported in the press and may influence the risk premium demanded by investors in addition to demand and supply of energy resources. Using the daily geopolitical risk index of Caldara and Iacoviello (2018), we demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important...

This paper proposes an extended version of the analytical structural model for the electricity market developed in a previous paper. The presented electricity price process is driven by stochastic load and random plant availability as well as stochastic marginal generation cost factors embedded...

This paper presents an analytical structural model for the electricity price process driven by stochastic load as well as stochastic marginal generation costs in a multi-fuel stack framework covering the entire fuel switch dynamics. Moreover, the random character of available generation capacity...

Aiming to study pricing of long-dated commodity derivatives, this paper presents a class of models within the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) framework for commodity futures prices that incorporates stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate and allows a correlation structure between...

Recent developments in biofuel technologies have resulted in heightened linkages between the petroleum and agricultural sectors. As such, a large price and/or volatility shift experienced in one sector is now more likely to spill-over into the other. In trying to capture the interrelations...

I examine the information sequential hypothesis in complementary oil markets. Unlike the underreaction hypothesis suggested as an explanation to the lagged negative oil effect of financial return, a sequential information schedule through crude oil and gasoline provides a differential dynamic in...

In this paper, we propose a commodity pricing model that extends Gibson-Schwartz two-factor model to incorporate the effect of linear relations among commodity prices, which include co-integration under certain conditions. We derive futures and call option pricing formulae, and show that unlike...