Sinclair, Tara; Stekler, Herman O.; Carrow, Warren - Institute for International Economic Policy (IIEP), … - 2012
In this paper we present a multivariate analysis of the Federal Reserve’s forecasts. First, we evaluate the Fed’s forecasts of the ten major expenditure categories of real GDP. Second, we present a new methodology for evaluating multivariate forecasts. Finally, we use the same...