Bouton, Laurent; Castanheira, Micael; Llorente-Saguer, Aniol - 2015
predictions might be an artifact of an (arguably unrealistic) assumption: the absence of aggregate uncertainty about the … distribution of preferences in the electorate. In this paper, we propose direct empirical evidence of the effect of aggregate … uncertainty in multicandidate elections. Adopting a theory-based experimental approach, we explore whether aggregate uncertainty …