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We examine whether the cross-country incidence and severity of the 2008-2009 global recession is systematically related to pre-crisis macroeconomic and financial factors. We find that the pre-crisis level of development, increases in the ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646414
. When the credibility of policymakers’ commitment to low inflation is firm, some degree of dirty floating, with little or no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769010
regime in minimizing inflation and output trade-offs. The estimates of the structural parameters fall within plausible ranges …, and simulation results suggest that while the peg amplifies output, consumption and (price and wage) inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839360
, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540934
an inflation targeting framework underpinned by a flexible exchange rate regime was not adopted, how much deeper would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151206
Using the between-sector variation in income as a new measure of economic uncertainty, this paper proposes simple models and supportive empirical evidence for the causal relations between economic uncertainty and government size in the open economy setting. Key empirical findings include: (1) a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769139
This paper examines the determinants of inflation in Sierra Leone using a structural vector autoregression (VAR …) approach to help forecast inflation for operational purposes. Despite data limitations, the paper accurately models inflation … in Sierra Leone. As economic theory predicts, domestic inflation is found to increase with higher oil prices, higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825688
We account for the appreciation of the real exchange rate in Mexico between 1988 and 2002 using a two sector dynamic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with two driving forces: (i) differential productivity growth across sectors and (ii) a decline in the cost of borrowing in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470373
The paper identifies the contemporaneous relationship between exchange rate policy and liability dollarization using three different definitions of dollarization. The presence of endogeneity makes the empirical identification elusive. We use identification through heteroskedasticity to solve the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825931
of growth and poverty reduction. Trade openness has important positive spillovers on other aspects of reform, however, so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263804