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The predictability of the market return and dividend growth is addressed in an equilibrium model with two regimes. A state variable that drives the conditional means of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rates follows different time-series processes in the two regimes. In linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115960
We document that leverage-adjusted returns on S&P 500 index call and put portfolios are decreasing in their strike-to-price ratio over 1986-2010, contrary to the prediction of the Black-Scholes-Merton model. We test a large number of plausible unconditional factor models and find that only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116707
We present evidence that the equity premium and the premium of value stocks over growth stocks are explained in the 1982 1996 period with a stochastic discount factor (SDF) calculated as the weighted average of individual households' marginal rate of substitution with low and economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102192
American options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) from 1983 to 2006 are identified as potentially profitable trades. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid prices do, while violations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069352
The Euler equations of consumption are tested on the household consumption of non-durables and services, reconstructed from the CEX database. The estimated relative risk aversion coefficient of the representative household decreases, and the estimated unexplained mean equity premium decreases,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471379
We explore the consequences for asset pricing of admitting a bequest motive into an otherwise standard overlapping generations model where agents trade equity and perpetual debt securities. Prices of securities are seen to be approximately 50% higher in an economy with bequests as compared to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783801
We present evidence that the equity premium and the premium of value stocks over growth stocks are consistent in the 1982-96 period with a stochastic discount factor calculated as the weighted average of individual households' marginal rate of substitution with low and economically plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787164
We present evidence that the equity premium and the premium of value stocks over growth stocks are explained in the 1982-1996 period with a stochastic discount factor (SDF) calculated as the weighted average of individual households' marginal rate of substitution with low and economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787574
Analytic bounds on the reservation write price of European-style contingent claims are derived in the presence of proportional transaction costs in a model which allows for intermediate trading. The option prices are obtained via a utility maximization approach by comparing the maximized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012789689
Widespread violations of stochastic dominance by 1-month Samp;P 500 index call options over 1986-2006 imply that a trader can improve expected utility by engaging in a zero-net-cost trade net of transaction costs and bid-ask spread. Although precrash option prices conform to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757777