Showing 1 - 10 of 67,724
This paper studies the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in a modelling framework where both the conditional … mean and conditional variance of inflation are regime specific, and the GARCH model for inflation uncertainty is extended … by including a lagged inflation term in each regime. Applying this model to the G7 countries with monthly data from 1970 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610956
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271965
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271133
Inflation and inflation uncertainty are critical factors influencing the functioning of markets and thus the efficient … flow of economic activities. In this study, we investigated the effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty on growth in … Ghana. Unlike the majority of the previous studies, we distinguished the short-run effects of inflation and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544495
The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence … inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly time series data during the period January 1974 - April 2015. To … endogenously control for any potential structural breaks in the inflation time series, Zivot and Andrews (2002) and Clemente …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708707
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and … nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation … uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the level of inflation only in the real term. Moreover, inflation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311028
The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence … inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly time series data during the period January 1974 - April 2015. To … endogenously control for any potential structural breaks in the inflation time series, Zivot and Andrews (2002) and Clemente …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379937
Uncertainty about the future path of inflation affects consumption, saving and investment decisions as well as wage … negotiations and price setting of firms. These decisions are based on inflation expectations which are a key determinant of … inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. In this paper we therefore explicitly analyse the relationship between inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592693
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and … nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation … uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the level of inflation only in the real term. Moreover, inflation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956143