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Traditional finance is built on the rationality paradigm. This chapter discusses simple models from an alternative approach in which financial markets are viewed as complex evolutionary systems. Agents are boundedly rational and base their investment decisions upon market forecasting heuristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724209
This paper formalizes the idea that more hedging instruments may destabilize markets when traders are heterogeneous and adapt their behavior according to experience based reinforcement learning. We investigate three different economic settings, a simple mean-variance asset pricing model, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726891
We examine a model in which two firms strategically compete in a duopolistic product market. Firms produce a homogenous product and face stochastic industry demand. Each firm has a single option either to expand or contract capacity, and hence output. In this setup we analyze the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727027
The rational expectations hypothesis is one of the cornerstones of current economic theorizing. This review discusses a number of experiments that focus on expectation formation by human subjects in a number of learning-to-forecast experiments and analyzes the implications for the rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049362
Environmentally motivated aid can help developing countries to achieve economic growth while mitigating the impact on emission levels. We argue that the usual practice of giving aid conditionally is not effective, and we therefore study aid that is given unconditionally. Our framework is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991848
Tipping of a natural system, entailing a loss of ecosystem services, may be prevented by stable partial cooperation. The presence of tipping points reverses the grim story that a high level of cooperation is hard to achieve and leaves large possible gains of cooperation. We investigate a tipping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185962
This paper develops a unified analysis of the impacts of production delays on aggregate price fluctuations in a continuous-time cobweb-type model. We find that the time inconsistency between demand and supply due to production delays inherently generates an overshooting effect in prices. Large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211797
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191441
The rational expectations hypothesis is one of the cornerstones of current economic theorising. This review discusses a number of experiments that focus on expectation formation by human subjects and analyses the implications for the rational expectations hypothesis. The experiments show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076961