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We investigate how college students form and update their beliefs about future earnings using a unique information experiment. We provide college students true information about the population distribution of earnings and observe how this information causes respondents to update their beliefs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287138
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821213
Are foundations of models of ambiguity-sensitive preferences too flawed to be usefully applied to economic models?  Al …-Najjar and Weinstein do not apply to quite a few of the ambiguity preference models of more recent vintage, and therefore to that … extent do not undermine the foundational aspects or applicability of ambiguity models in general.  Second, we argue the focus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999235
We provide a model of decision making under uncertainty in which the decision maker reacts to imprecision of the … notions of comparative aversion to imprecision of the data as well as traditional notions of risk aversion. Interestingly, the … study of comparative aversion to imprecision can be done independently of the utility function, which embeds risk attitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005696846
This paper applies the dichotomous theory of choice by Zou (2000a) tothe analysis of investmentstrategies and security markets. Issues concerning individualoptimality, (approximate) arbitrage,capital market equilibrium, and Pareto efficiency are studied undervarious market conditions. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304380
We consider fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing arising when the uncertainty model is given by a set of possible … the existence of such sets when volatility uncertainty is modeled by a stochastic differential equation, driven by Peng …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009512789
The aim of this contribution is to revisit, clarify and complete the picture of uncertainty estimates in the chain … prediction uncertainty (using Mack's formula) and the one of the one-year prediction uncertainty (using the Merz-Wüthrich formula … total run-off uncertainty view …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293560
We introduce a category that represents varying risk as well as uncertainty, and give a generalized conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087159
measures, and spatial and time fixed measures of expected future prices and price uncertainty. This method improves the … price uncertainty by a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. To explore for the presence … of real options in house prices, vacant land sales price is regressed on SDM measures of future house price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907553
Maximising expected value is the classic doctrine in choice theory under empirical uncertainty, and a prominent … proposal in the emerging literature on normative uncertainty, i.e., uncertainty about the standard of evaluation. But how … difference lies in the perspective from which expectations are taken, or equivalently the amount of uncertainty packed into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861551