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positive signal for future system stability, it also evidences that the widely used GARCH and DCC specifications turn to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984362
: Germany, United Kingdom, China, Russia, and Turkey. MARMA, GARCH, GARCH-in-mean, and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) methodologies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988707
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819006
, namely, GARCH (1,1), GJR (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1), are used to estimate the abnormal rate of change in the number of tourists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819518
SE jeweils mit einem einfachen gewichteten Durchschnitt, exponentiell gewichteten Durchschnitt, GARCH- und T-GARCH … estimation through a simple moving average, an exponentially weighted average, a GARCH-, and a T-GARCH-Model. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431345
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break in respect of the US dollar rates with exogenously determined break … estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482587
This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199583
Financial times series, and commodity prices in particular, are known to exhibit fat tails in the distribution of prices. As with many natural resources price series, the arrival of new information can lead to unexpectedly rapid changes-or jump-in prices. This suggests that natural resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200211
estimator. The OLS regression with the HAC covariance matrix estimation and the GARCH-type models are employed toexplore the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013204642
markets. We use filtered historical simulations, GARCH models, and stochastic volatility models. The out-of-sample performance … models, we obtain better Value-at-Risk forecasts compared to GARCH. The quality varies over forecasting horizons and across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611007