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rates for the WIG-20 index from 1999-2011. Then, on their basis we estimates various types of ARIMA-GARCH (1,1) models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289512
BEKK-GARCH model to estimate time-varying conditional correlations. Gold plays an important role in nancial markets with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433164
dynamics of intraday returns. Two parametric GARCH-type jump models which explicitly incorporate both news arrival and news … other postulating the GARCH component channel. In order to give the most-likely format of the interactions between news … arrival and stock market behaviors, these two models are compared with several other easier versions of GARCH-type models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433216
This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on the euro's foreign exchange expectation bias for the period 2001 to 2005. Our findings suggest that euro foreign exchange markets were attentive to the political dispute over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009569731
SE jeweils mit einem einfachen gewichteten Durchschnitt, exponentiell gewichteten Durchschnitt, GARCH- und T-GARCH … estimation through a simple moving average, an exponentially weighted average, a GARCH-, and a T-GARCH-Model. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422031
heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models capture extreme events in stock market returns. We estimate Hill's tail indexes for individual S&P 500 … stock market returns ranging from 1995-2014 and compare these to the tail indexes produced by simulating GARCH models. Our … results suggest that actual and simulated values differ greatly for GARCH models with normal conditional distributions, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529886
In this paper we compared two distinct volatility forecasting approaches. GARCH models were contrasted to the models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786890
High fluctuation of exchange rate in short horizon is obviously making economic activity more risky as uncertainty rises. As it is not good for the economy, then there should be a systematic and measured policy to mitigate the foreign exchange fluctuations and to minimize the fluctuations, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011533477
for conditional heteroskedasticity; a favored model is Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC), derived from the ARCH/GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518597
The role of futures markets in stabilizing spot prices has been extensively discussed. Nevertheless, the ability of these markets to achieve the stabilizing function significantly depends on whether they are "efficient" in the sense that futures prices "fully reflect" the available information....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410400