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We propose a model of instrumental belief choice under loss aversion. When new information arrives, an agent is prompted to abandon her prior. However, potential posteriors may induce her to take actions that generate a lower utility in some states than actions induced by her prior. These losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584855
We propose a model of instrumental belief choice under loss aversion. When new information arrives, an agent is prompted to abandon her prior. However, potential posteriors may induce her to take actions that generate a lower utility in some states than actions induced by her prior. These losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557745
The betting market for the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) is a thin financial market, which does not attract much interest from sports bettors. Given these characteristics, it is possible that profitable wagering strategies could exist for informed bettors of the WNBA. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373269
We show that immediate and delayed abnormal returns following earnings announcement surprises differ across market states. Immediate abnormal returns are more sensitive to earnings surprises in down markets, while delayed abnormal returns are less sensitive; underreaction is attenuated in down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096116
This paper studies the effectiveness of technical trading approaches in market environments of varying sentiment. Due to short-sale constraints, overpricing with high sentiment (i.e. relatively optimistic sentiment) is more prevalent compared to underpricing with low sentiment (i.e. relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905538
Relying on a comprehensive data set of news releases, we construct monthly firm-level news sentiment scores during the 2000–2016 period and document a news momentum phenomenon of stocks with more positive news in the past generating more positive news in the future. We propose three hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909354
The author identifies and explains asymmetric reactions in implied volatility of S&P 500 Index options across the term structure based on news sentiment. The asymmetry of the reaction is more pronounced for fear (proxied by put options) than for greed (proxied by call options). This asymmetry is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899614
We analyze the role that financial analysts play in the sentiment effect on stock prices. Causality analysis reveals that sentiment affects various aspects of the work of analysts. We show that experienced analysts are aware of sentiment, consciously incorporate it, and have some control over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940430
The identical cash flow rights of Chinese A and B shares provide a natural experiment that allows us to explore how investor clienteles affect stock return patterns. Chinese domestic retail investors are responsible for the majority of trades in A shares, while foreign institutional investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825537
The 2017 bubble on the cryptocurrency market recalls our memory in the dot-com bubble, during which hard-to-measure fundamentals and investors' illusion for brand new technologies led to overvalued prices. Benefiting from the massive increase in the volume of messages published on social media...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869173