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We identify and characterise the 'givers and the receivers' of volatility in cross-market Bitcoin prices and discuss … dynamic spillover effects to produce a best long-run prediction of the market. Our results show that Bitcoin prices depict … strong (dynamic) spillover in volatility, especially during episodes of high uncertainty. The Bitcoin-USD exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846944
I show that a congruent, parsimonious, encompassing model discovered using David Hendry's econometric modelling approach and Autometrics can overcome the many inadequacies of the typical static models of US Treasury returns regressed on macroeconomic announcements. The typical specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928522
In this paper, I have investigated the out of sample forecast performance for a case study on the determination of the nominal exchange rate for USD vis-à-vis IN¬R under VEC, VAR (in first difference) and Bayesian VAR specification with the help of set of economic theories. The forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910274
This paper analyzes the relationships between monetary policy and income inequality in Korea. We calculate Gini coefficient for various income range using data from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey and then estimate a block-exogeneity VAR representing Korean and US economies to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911594
Although the average inflation rate of developed countries in the postwar period has been greater than zero, much of the extensive literature on monetary policy has employed models that assume zero steady-state inflation. In comparing four estimated medium-scale NK DSGE models with real and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000408
We use consumer surveys conducted in April, July and November 2020 to study how the COVID-19 pandemic affected the demand for cash and the use of various methods of payment. Continuing from Chen et al. (2020, 2021), we use data from the Bank Note Distribution System (BNDS) to track how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597734
We conduct a fairly thorough statistical analysis of the empirical foundations for the existence of a Taylor rule. Inflation, the output gap and the federal funds rate appear to be non-stationary variables that are not cointegrated. Although this lack of cointegration could be caused by missing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065153
This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to incorporating specification and identification uncertainty into a VAR analysis of the dynamic effects of money supply shocks on the macroeconomy. The approach follows Poirier (1991) in averaging over discrete model specifications in forming posterior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068724
This paper investigates changes in the conduct of U.S. monetary policy. Monetary policy is modeled in the context of the Bernanke-Mihov (1998) structural VAR (SVAR) extended to allow explicitly for the Fed's forward looking behavior. This is achieved by including its real-time forecasts on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163886
This study examines the impacts of interest rate on banks' return in 14 international markets. This research covers seven financial ratios as dependent variables as well as the return of the bank. Moreover, size of the banks is a control variable. The sample of data is from 2001 until the end of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087249