The main uncertainties for the world oil market in H2 2022 are as follows: formal completion of the OPEC+ deal in September 2022 and chances and terms of its extension; sanctions on Russian exports of oil and oil products, their scale and duration

Q4 2022 saw trend component growth in the industrial production index driven by extractive industries and manufacturing of goods substituting foreign brands which left the Russian market, as well as a pickup in demand for intermediate goods for the state defense order

The approved tax code amendments will cap a discount on Urals oil price to North Sea Dated for the calculation of oil taxes. By our estimates, amendments may bring an additional of around Rb640bn into the budget in 2023. However, the mechanism incorporated in the amendments entails the risk of a...

In Q2 2022, the industrial production volume decreased. Slow growth was observed only in the mining industry on the back of the extraction of minerals (except for fuel and energy) and industries related to the provision of services in the extractive sector. Manufacturing industries began to feel...

Russian Abstract: Отказ от резкого увеличения нефтедобычи странами – участницами соглашения ОПЕК+ и новости о начале вакцинации от коронавируса были положительно...

Russian Abstract: В статье разрабатывается модель, объясняющая объемы торговых потоков между регионами России. В основе работы лежат данные о грузовых железнодорожных...

Russian Abstract: В марте-апреле 2021 г. соглашение ОПЕК+ по-прежнему сдерживало рост в добывающем секторе. Тем не менее трендовая составляющая в динамике производства...

The imposition of the restrictive measures to contain the spread of the coronavirus infection (self-isolation regime, shutdown of public facilities, etc.) adversely affected the dynamic of Russian industrial sectors in H1 2020. The manufacturing industries that produce consumer durable goods,...

The revision of the oil output baseline for the UAE made it possible to reach a compromise in the negotiations to extend the OPEC+ agreement. In return, the UAE supportedthe proposal to extend the current deal until the end of 2022, and to increase thetotal oil production by OPEC+ countries by...