Expanding the panel model of Pesaran (2006) and Bai (2009), we propose a dynamic panel specification with Bayesian approach to capture the impact of unobservable industry-wide shocks to stock price movements. We employ fundamental accounting information to control company specific shocks and...

In the valuation of continuous barrier options the distribution of the first hitting time plays a substantial role. In general, the derivation of a hitting time distribution poses a mathematically challenging problem for continuous but otherwise arbitrary boundary curves. When considering...

Diversification has its obvious benefits but its pursuit can involve a trade-off between risk-controls and returns. We investigate this trade-off by examining the relative performance of diversified versus concentrated portfolios both formed on the basis of the same stock preferences. Using US...

One of several important strategic decisions that have to be made by an active funds management organization is how aggressively it implements its investment process. In this paper we model this decision on the assumption that the organization’s objective is to maximise the present value of...

This paper studies the exposure of Australian gold-mining firms to changes in the gold price, the stock market and the Australian dollar - US dollar exchange rate. The empirical analysis uses daily, weekly and monthly data of all gold-mining firms in the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index for the...

Standard early warning models to predict bank failures cannot be estimated during periods of few or zero failures, precluding any updating of such models during times of good performance. Here we address this problem using an alternative approach, forecasting the simple leverage ratio...

Citations are regarded as measures of quality yet citation rates vary widely within each of the top finance journals. Since article ordering is at the discretion of editors, lead articles can be interpreted as signals of quality that academics can use to allocate their attention and assert the...

In this paper we analyze the influence of currency movements on the value of Australian firms listed on the S&P/ASX 100 index for a period from 1980 - 2010 using daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly returns. The study estimates unconditional and conditional, time-varying and asymmetric, exchange...

This paper analyzes the long-run relationship between gold and silver prices. We closely follow Escribano and Granger (1998) and extend their study. First, we use a 40-year sample period from 1970-2010 and examine the existence and stability of a long-run relationship between gold and silver...