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commercial banking sector in BIST-BANKING index for the period 1-1-2000- 31-12-2013. Technical analysis indicators are generated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268636
commercial banking sector in BIST-BANKING index for the period 1-1-2000- 31-12-2013. Technical analysis indicators are generated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266175
We theoretically characterize the behavior of machine learning asset pricing models. We prove that expected out-of-sample model performance--in terms of SDF Sharpe ratio and test asset pricing errors--is improving in model parameterization (or "complexity"). Our empirical findings verify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372446
This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362020
A large universe of technical trading rules applied to a set of technology industry and small cap sector portfolios over the 1995–2010 period yields superior predictability after adjusting for data snooping bias in the first half of the sample period and delivers statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582663
The sustained current account deficit in any country has an important implication for policy. If it continues, then it suggests that the regime ought to have no motivation to avoid or to diminish its international debt. In this paper, we test empirically the relationship among current account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337861
The condensed research article presents some innovative research results on the venture capital optimal investment portfolio strategies selection in the diffusion-type financial systems in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the incomplete information, which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107583
How do arbitrageurs find variables that predict returns? If a predictor lasts 30 days or more, then a clever arbitrageur can use his intuition to get the job done. But, what's an arbitrageur supposed to do if a predictor lasts 30 minutes or less? An arbitrageur's intuition is useless if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971759
I construct an estimable statistic that predicts whether a financial innovation will spread. The approach embeds the multi-host SIR model from epidemiology within a financial model of correlated securities trade; and takes advantage of the related predictive tools from mathematical epidemiology,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202945
Two of the fastest growing frontiers in econometrics and quantitative finance are time series and financial … econometrics. Significant theoretical contributions to financial econometrics have been made by experts in statistics, econometrics … Econometrics" is to highlight several areas of research by leading academics in which novel methods have contributed significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484894