Stress tests with handpicked scenarios might misrepresent risks either because dangerous scenarios are not considered or because the scenarios considered are too implausible. To overcome these two pitfalls we propose a systematic search for the worst case within a relative entropy ball of...

This paper analyzes the insurability of pandemic risk and outlines how underwriting policies and scenario analysis are used to build resilience upfront and plan contingency actions for crisis scenarios. It then summarizes the unique “lessons learned” from the Covid-19 crisis by baselining...

Supply chain scenario planning – Coronavirus synopsis questionsSupply chain resilience, contingencies, and business continuity plansHistoric case study of high dependency on the region and the inappropriate spread of manufacturing load. Contingency planning to address business continuity...

The importance of market discipline has been rapidly growing at both the regulatory and market levels in recent decades. However, firm/system-wide financial failures during the global financial crisis supported the idea of more regulation. The result has been in the author's view, excessive or...

The Icelandic economy was hit hard by the global economic and financial crisis that started in the fall of 2008. During this crisis the three largest banks all collapsed and many other smaller banks and companies went bankrupt in the aftermath of the crisis with severe consequences for the...

In practice, there is a massive time lag between data loss and its cause identification. The existing techniques perform it comprehensively, but they consume too much time, so there is a need for fast and reliable methods. The article’s purpose is to develop a rapid methodology to assess the...