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for conditional heteroskedasticity; a favored model is Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC), derived from the ARCH/GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663190
Many researchers seek factors that predict the cross-section of stock returns. The standard methodology sorts stocks according to their factor scores into quantiles and forms a corresponding long-short portfolio. Such a course of action ignores any information on the covariance matrix of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663197
The performance of information criteria and tests for residual heteroskedasticity for choosing between different models for time-varying volatility in the context of structural vector autoregressive analysis is investigated. Although it can be difficult to find the true volatility model with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674102
positive signal for future system stability, it also evidences that the widely used GARCH and DCC specifications turn to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984362
heteroscedasticity GARCH (1, 1) model. Also, to control if political uncertainty before the elections influences the return of MBI 10, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984759
We introduce SRISK to measure the systemic risk contribution of a financial firm. SRISK measures the capital shortfall of a firm conditional on a severe market decline, and is a function of its size, leverage and risk. We use the measure to study top US financial institutions in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984820
: Germany, United Kingdom, China, Russia, and Turkey. MARMA, GARCH, GARCH-in-mean, and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) methodologies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988707
. A state-dependent volatility spillover GARCH hedging strategy is developed to capture the regime switching global equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996114
In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Hyperbolic EGARCH (A-HYEGARCH) model to estimate the long memory of high frequency time series with potential structural breaks. Based on the original HYGARCH model, we use the logarithm transformation to ensure the positivity of conditional variance. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996584
A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model … August 2005-30 September 2016. As a benchmark, we take an ARMA-GARCH and an ARMAX-GARCHX with the 2y-yield difference as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996642