This paper departs from previous research in dealing with dimensionality reduction in the space of international term structure slopes. Recent empirical work has documented the existence of information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic...

A new method, called relevant transformation of the inputs network approach (RETINA) is proposed as a tool for model building and selection. It is designed to improve some of the shortcomings of neural networks. It has the flexibility of neural network models, the concavity of the likelihood in...

This paper analyzes the equilibrium dynamics of an AK-type endogenous growth model with vintage capital. The inclusion of vintage capital leads to oscillatory dynamics governed by replacement echoes, which additionally influence the intercept of the balanced growth path. These features, which...

This paper explains four things in a unified way. First, how e-commerce can generate price equilibria, where physical shops either compete with virtual hops for consumers with Internet access, or alternatively, sell only to consumers with no Internet access. Second, how these price equilibria...

We provide an analytical discussion of the optimal hedge ratio under discrepancies between the futures market price and its theoretical valuation according to the cost-of-carry model. Assuming a geometric Brownian motion for spot prices, we model mispricing as a speci…c noise component in the...

After reviewing the reasons to use solution methods in macroeconomics,this survey paper discusses diferent aspects relative to a rigorous use of the numerical output of such methods. Special attention is paid to suggestions that have been made to incorporate parameter uncertainty. Finally, the...

The goal of this paper is to identify the main determinants of the risk premium in some European currency markets just before the EMU. To do this the authors propose an exchange rate model and derive a formula for the forward premium. This formula includes money and production variables and is...

Modeling volatility, or “predictable changes” over time and space in a variable, is crucial in the natural and social sciences. Life can be volatile, and anything that matters, and which changes over time and space, involves volatility. Without volatility, many temporal and spatial variables...

This work analyzes the effect of corporate bond rating rating changes over stock prices. This topic has not been analyzed before on the Spanish stock market. They are analyzed changes in the qualification of debt risk granted by agencies like Moody's or Standard and Poor's among others. On an...

In dynamic settings with public capital, it is common to assume that the government claims a constant fraction of public investment to total output each period, which is clearly a restrictive assumption. The goal of the paper is twofold: first, to find out a more reasonable rule for public...