Este trabajo está dividido en tres partes. En la primera parte se estudia los rasgos básicos del ciclo económico internacional. En la segunda parte los panoramas económicos regionales y una tercera parte con gráficos estadísticos.

El propósito de este trabajo, es analizar las propiedades de dinámica comparativa de un modelo dinámico no estocástico bajo previsión perfecta con dos ecuaciones diferenciales simultáneas. El modelo presenta estabilidad de punto de silla con respecto a su posición de equilibrio, lo que...

The aim of this paper is to explore the general macro characteristics of the trading economies that can help us understand the world economy response after OPEC I and OPEC II in terms of the evolution of the North-South terms of trade, rates of profit and output levels. Therefore, we support the...

This paper features an analysis of the e_ectiveness of a range of portfolio diversification strategies as applied to a set of 17 years of monthly hedge fund index returns on a set of ten market indices representing 13 major hedge fund categories, as compiled by the EDHEC Risk Institute. The...

One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance, and also one of the least rigorously analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis of financial derivatives, which are typically complicated and difficult to analyze. The purpose of this special...

It is common practice to evaluate fixed-event forecast revisions in macroeconomics by regressing current forecast revisions on one-period lagged forecast revisions. Under weak-form (forecast) efficiency, the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions should be zero. The...

This paper features an analysis of volatility spillover effects from Australia's major trading partners, namely, China, Japan, Korea and the United States, for a period running from 12th September 2002 to 9th September 2012. This captures the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). These...

The paper uses monthly data on financial stock index returns, tourism stock sub-index returns, effective exchange rate returns and interest rate differences from April 2005 – August 2013 for Taiwan that applies Chang’s (2014) novel approach for constructing a tourism financial indicator,...

We define the vector of conditional coverage values generated over the business cycle by a constant capital figure. Using a convenient analytical framework, we explore its properties and propose two applications based on it. For the former, we state a result that links the concepts of...