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Long-run inflation expectations should not respond to economic news if the central bank is seen as credibly committed to stabilising inflation. In this paper we find that since the onset of the global financial crisis, medium and long-term inflation expectations implied by inflation swaps in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933319
To study inflation expectations and associated risk premia in emerging bond markets, this paper provides estimates for Mexico based on an arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model of nominal and real bond prices that accounts for their liquidity risk. In addition to documenting the existence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498145
We use randomized controlled trials in the US, UK, and Brazil to examine the causal effect of public debt on household inflation expectations. We find that people underestimate public debt levels and increase inflation expectations when informed about the correct levels. The extent of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355804
Rapidly overflow crisis in Europe has in the short term to dramatically decrease the projection of economic growth; despite a significantly reduced liquidity is present and growing danger of inflation. Access to new sources of funds is almost out, which left negative consequences on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108258
Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
We provide comprehensive evidence of the widespread occurrence of inflation convergence between all countries of the European Union from 1999 to 2016. We also show that convergence was more inclusive in the years after the global financial crisis—including the European sovereign debt crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758407
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
The COVID-19 Financial Crisis seems unprecedented, but this is largely because it combines attributes of multiple historical events, several of which occurred more than one hundred years ago. The easiest way to understand the fundamental dynamics of the crisis is to isolate the distinct phases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406480
Starting with the 90, price stability became an increasingly important goal of the monetary authorities in many countries for at least two reasons. Firstly, central bank is the institution responsable for ensuring price stability in the long-run. Secondly, monetary policy can stimulate economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008520621
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723