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Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways - most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands around a point target, or by specifying target ranges. Using data for 20 economies, this paper tests whether the various target types affect the anchoring of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605258
This research highlights the role played by the media in the inflation expectations formation process of different types of respondents in Ukraine. Using a large news corpus and machine learning techniques I constructed news-based measures transforming text into quantitative indicators, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606382
Using the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey, this paper investigates how consumers revise medium-term inflation expectations. We provide robust evidence of their adjustment to the current economic developments. In particular, consumers adjust medium-term inflation views in response to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614221
This paper investigates the changing behavior of inflation expectations in response to the macroeconomic and policy environment. Using a panel of professional forecasters covering thirteen years of inflation targeting period from Turkey, we present evidence on the behavioral shifts in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628450
Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745527
Die Gesamtinflation im Euroraum ist im Sommer sprunghaft auf mehr als drei Prozent gestiegen - nach Jahren mit relativ geringen Teuerungsraten von deutlich unter der von der EZB bis Juli 2021 angestrebten Zielmarke von knapp unter zwei Prozent. Ein Hauptgrund für die anziehende Inflation sind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745545
Using the variation in national television news of four major member states in the Eurozone, we find causal effects of coverage of high-frequency identified monetary policy announcements on households' inflation expectations in an event study and a generalized Difference-in-Differences approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290195
This paper studies the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and discusses the potential implications for what constitutes the core of most central banks' mandate: price stability. Carbon policy shocks are identified from high-frequency changes in carbon futures price around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014333769
This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and its implications for central banks' price stability mandate. Carbon policy shocks are identified using high-frequency identification and combined with French firm-level survey data. A change in carbon price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377526
This paper presents novel causal evidence on the relationship between various communication channels employed by central banks and households' expectations about future inflation. In a pre-registered randomized survey experiment administered in 2022, we examine adjustment of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476307