This article finds evidence that ideas and innovation are a key force explaining postwar growth in the U.S. economy. Utilizing data on patents issued since 1851, I construct a measure of the growth rate of knowledge. Capital stock estimates, human capital estimates, and real gross domestic...

This paper presents a small-sample study of the threeequation- three variable New-Keynesian macro model. While the point estimates imply that the Fed has been stabilizing inflation fluctuations since 1980, our econometric analysis suggests considerable uncertainty regarding the stance of the Fed...

This paper has a twofold purpose. In the context of a structural macroeconomic model, it derives estimates of the Federal Reserve's preference parameters in its pre and post - 1980 loss function. We show that there was an economically, but not statistically, significant change in the preferences...

This study develops an error correction model for money demand in Latvia. The core of the model is a single cointegrating vector containing information about the long-run equilibrium between the real money balances, gross domestic product, and long-term interest rate. The model exhibits...

The study is connected with preparing of the country report for Bulgaria in the Work Package (WP) IX titled “Development of Scenarios for Health Expenditure in the Accession Economies” within the project “Ageing, Health Status and Determinants of Health Expenditure” (AHEAD) under the...

The main objective of the study is to explore the interrelations between the most important demographic and macroeconomic indicators related to the health care expenditure in Bulgaria in a long-term perspective up to 2050 by using a model of the International Labor Organization (ILO). The study...

In this paper, we provide a framework to evaluate finite sample MSE of several realized covariance estimators when using nonsynchronous observations contaminated with microstructure noise. This framework enables us to examine different estimators. We propose some estimators as an application of...

International tourism is the principal economic activity for Small Island Tourism Economies (SITEs). There is a strongly predictable component of international tourism, specifically the government revenue received from taxes on international tourists, but it is difficult to predict the number of...

This paper addresses the economic impact of the EU Emission Trading Scheme for carbon on wholesale electricity and gas prices. Specifically, we analyse the mutual relationships between electricity, gas and carbon prices in the daily spot markets in the United Kingdom. Using a structural...

We produce predictions of Norwegian GDP. To this end, we estimate a Bayesian dynamic factor model on a panel of fourteen variables (all followed closely by market operators) ranging from 1990 to 2011. By means of a pseudo real-time exercise, we show that the Bayesian dynamic factor model...