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Does a "one model fits all" approach apply to the econometric modeling of regional house price determination? To answer this question, we utilize a panel of 100 US Metropolitan Statistical Areas over the period 1980q1-2010q2. For each area we estimate a separate cointegrated VAR model, focusing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143846
approach requires careful specification of the integration and cointegration properties of variables in systems of equations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726093
Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, 371-413.]. We assess the forecast accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805901
We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government’s intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316265
This survey paper discusses the Cointegrated Vector AutoRegressive (CVAR) methodology and how it has evolved over the past 30 years. It describes major steps in the econometric development, discusses problems to be solved when confronting theory with the data, and, as a solution, proposes a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428078
roots and cointegration. Sequential testing methods are examined; these test for cointegration and use either a differenced … cointegration can result in severe over-rejections of the noncausal null while overfitting suffers less size distortion with often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260596
countries is examined applying a fractional cointegration method which tests for the possible existence of a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219127
We characterize the restrictions imposed by the minimal I(2)-to-I(1) transformation that underlies much applied work, e.g. on money demand relationships or open-economy pricing relationships. The relationship between the parameters of the original I(2) vector autoregression, including the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070668
signs. Based on the cointegration and the weak exogeneity test results, single equation error correction model is specified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667146
In this study, we attempt to examine the possibility of emergence of significant fluctuations of the exchange rates in the future for the candidate EMU countries. In doing so, we estimate the equilibrium rate of the nominal effective exchange rate for Poland, Hungary, Slovak Republic and Malta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040043