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A new computational algorithm for estimating the smoothing parameters of a multidimensional penalized spline generalized model with anisotropic penalty is presented. This new proposal is based on the mixed model representation of a multidimensional P-spline, in which the smoothing parameter for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010693275
We propose an extension of a seasonal modulation smooth model with P-splines for times series data using a mixed model formulation. A smooth trend with seasonality decomposition can be estimated simultaneously. We extend the model to consider the forecasting of new future observations in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861871
In this work we propose the combination of P-splines with traditional spatial econometric models in such a way that it allows for their representation as a mixed model. The advantages of combining these models include: (i) dealing with complex non-linear and non-separable trends, (ii) estimating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861875
Low-rank smoothing techniques have gained much popularity in non-standard regression modeling. In particular, penalized splines and tensor product smooths are used as flexible tools to study non-parametric relationships among several covariates. The use of standard statistical software...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056581
In this paper we carry a disaggregated study of the monthly US Consumer Price Index (CPI). We consider a breakdown of US CPI in four subindexes, corresponding to four groups of markets: energy, food, rest of commodities and rest of services. This is seen as a relevant way to increase information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417108
We study with the help of a laboratory experiment the conditions under which an uninformed manipulator - a robot trader that unconditionally buys several shares of a common value asset in the beginning of a trading period and unwinds this position later on - is able to induce higher asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417109
This article introduces two new types of prediction errors in time series: the filtered prediction errors and the deletion prediction errors. These two prediction errors are obtained in the same sample used for estimation, but in such a way that they share some common properties with out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417110
In a previous paper (Grané and Fortiana 2006) we studied a flexible class of goodness-of-fit tests associated with an orthogonal sequence, the Karhunen-Loève decomposition of a stochastic process derived from the null hypothesis. Generally speaking, these tests outperform Kolmogorov-Smirnov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417111
Economic agents and financial authorities require frequent updates to a path of accurate inflation forecasts and need forecasts to include an explanation of the factors by which they are determined. This paper studies how to approach this need, developing a method for analysing inflation in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417112
Dimension reduction transformations in discriminant analysis are introduced. Their properties, as well as sufficient conditions for their characterization, are studied. Special attention is given to the continuous case, of particular importance in applications. An effective data based dimension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005417113