This paper develops the approximate finite-sample bias of the ordinary least squares or quasi max- imum likelihood estimator of the mean reversion parameter in continuous-time Levy processes. For the special case of Gaussian processes, our results reduce to those of Tang and Chen (2009) (when...

This paper develops the approximate bias of the ordinary least squares estimator of the mean reversion parameter in continuous-time Lévy processes. Several cases are considered, depending on whether the long-run mean is known or unknown and whether the initial condition is fixed or random. The...

We derive the exact distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the mean reversion parameter (k) in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by employing numerical integration via analytical evaluation of a joint characteristic function. Different scenarios are considered: known or unknown drift...

Econometricians have recently been interested in estimating and testing the mean reversion parameter (κ) in linear diffusion models. It has been documented that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of κ tends to over estimate the true value. Its asymptotic distribution, on the other...

A model of financial asset price determination is proposed that incorporates flat trading features into an e¡é cient price process. The model involves the superposition of a Brownian semimartin- gale process for the efficient price and a Bernoulli process that determines the extent of flat...

A recursive regression methodology is used to analyze the bubble characteristics of various fi- nancial time series during the subprime crisis. The methods provide a technology for identifying bubble behavior and consistent dating of their origination and collapse. Seven relevant financial...

A new methodology is proposed to estimate theoretical prices of financial contin- gent claims whose values are dependent on some other underlying financial assets. In the literature, the preferred choice of estimator is usually maximum likelihood (ML). ML has strong asymptotic justification but...

Some limit theory is developed for estimators suggested in Phillips, Wu and Yu (2009) for dating bubble pheonoma in time series data. The models involve mildly explosive autoregressions and the tests rely on right sided recursive unit root tests. The estimates locate the origination and collapse...