The behaviour of the long-run real exchange rate for four Latin-American countries is investigated for the period 1957-2002. The long-run real exchange rate is derived from an unobserved component model which divides the real exchange rate into a permanent and a transitory component. The...

We show that the use of the real effective exchange rate to test for purchasing power parity, as in Astorga (2012) and other studies, is subject to a problem that biases tests against finding evidence of PPP. The problem is illustrated using Astorga´s data on six Latin American countries.

This paper evaluates short-run out-of-sample exchange rate predictability with real-time data for 15 OECD countries from 1973 to 2013. We consider the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the Taylor rule...

This paper offers a new insight into real exchange rate behaviour in Latin America. Using quarterly data over the sample period 1973Q2-2005Q4, the analysis indicates that the real exchange rates of Argentina, Brazil and Venezuala can be described as non-linear trend stationary processes. This...

In most emerging economies, there is a relationship between the fluctuations in the real exchange rate and capital flows. This research examines the long-run response of the real exchange rate to capital inflows in Mexico for the period 1986:1-2002:2, using cointegration analysis.The estimated...

This study applies a newly-developed Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) test for threshold cointegration, proposed by Li and Lee (2010) to test the validity of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) for G-7 countries over the January 1994 to April 2010. The empirical results indicate that PPP...

This paper investigates the relationships between country characteristics and the validity of PPP. We use three alternative time series methods to test for the stationarity of real exchange rates for each of the 72 countries over the period from 1976 to 2005. Our result shows that the evidence...

In this paper, we employ some front page panel unit root tests to examine the validity of the purchasing power parity hypothesis in Turkey. Using monthly observations panel data of nine major county’s currency dates January 2003 through April 2010, we find that panel unit root tests are not...

Recent advances in testing for the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) focus on the time series properties of real exchange rates in panel frameworks. One weakness of such tests, however, is that they fail to inform the researcher as to which cross-section units are stationary. As a...