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inflation) and credit (loans and lending rates) forecasts in Greece, during the latest sovereign debt crisis. We implement … macroeconomic and credit variables. The forecasting superiority of large Bayesian VARs is particularly clear at long …
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Building on a proper selection of macroeconomic variables for constructing a GDP forecasting multivariate model (Kazanas, 2017), this paper evaluates whether alternative Bayesian model specifications can provide greater forecasting accuracy compared to a standard VECM model. To that end, two...
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