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Using a neural network to forecast inflation

Aiken, Milam - In: Industrial Management & Data Systems 99 (1999) 7, pp. 296-301

Forecasting inflation is a major concern for economists and businessmen. Most researchers have relied upon statistical …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014824806

Building Intelligent Forecasting Systems in Manufacturing

Lin, Bin‐Shan; Hatcher, Jerome M. - In: Industrial Management & Data Systems 89 (1989) 6, pp. 17-21

Forecasting is considered as a key element in formulating manufacturing systems. There is a wealth of information about … forecasting methods but little has been written about forecasting systems. An outline of an approach to build Decision Support … Systems (DSS) for forecasting in manufacturing is given. A strategic forecasting framework is provided. To integrate the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014825257

Fuzzy time series forecasting for supply chain disruptions

Chan, Felix T.S.; Samvedi, Avinash; Chung, S.H. - In: Industrial Management & Data Systems 115 (2015) 3, pp. 419-435

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to test the effectiveness of fuzzy time series (FTS) forecasting system in a … players. Findings – FTS is tested against some other well-known forecasting systems and it proves to be the best of the lot … forecasting system is the best for a supply chain during disruption scenarios. This is important because the forecasting …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014825872

Modelling the currency in circulation for the State of Qatar

Balli, Faruk; Mousa Elsamadisy, Elsayed - In: International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern … 5 (2012) 4, pp. 321-339

Purpose – This paper seeks to model the daily and weekly forecasting of the currency in circulation (CIC) for the State … of Qatar. Design/methodology/approach – The paper employs linear forecasting models, the regression model and the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014826561

Modest policy interventions

Leeper, Eric M.; Zha, Tao - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - 1999

This paper brings together identification and forecasting in a positive econometric analysis of policy. We contend that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721725

Inflation scares and forecast-based monetary policy

Orphanides, Athanasios; Williams, John C. - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - 2003

Central banks pay close attention to inflation expectations. In standard models, however, inflation expectations are tied down by the assumption of rational expectations and should be of little independent interest to policy makers. In this paper, the authors relax the assumption of rational...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721745

Forces that shape the yield curve: Parts 1 and 2

Fisher, Mark - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - 2001

The yield curve is shaped by (1) expectations of the future path of short-term interest rates and (2) uncertainty about the path. Uncertainty affects the yield curve through two channels: (1) investors’ attitudes toward risk as reflected in risk premia, and (2) the nonlinear relation between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721747

Evaluating Wall Street Journal survey forecasters: a multivariate approach

Eisenbeis, Robert; Waggoner, Daniel; Zha, Tao - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - 2002

This paper proposes a methodology for assessing the joint performance of multivariate forecasts of economic variables. The methodology is illustrated by comparing the rankings of forecasters by the Wall Street Journal with the authors’ alternative rankings. The results show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721748

Irrational expectations and econometric practice: discussion of Orphanides and Williams, "Inflation scares and forecast-based monetary policy"

Ireland, Peter N. - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - 2003

Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams' excellent conference paper, "Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy," contributes importantly to the new and rapidly growing branch of the literature on bounded rationality and learning in macroeconomics. Their paper, like many others,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721760

Micro-simulation of daily activity-travel patterns for travel demand forecasting

Kitamura, Ryuichi; Chen, Cynthia; Pendyala, Ram; … - In: Transportation 27 (2000) 1, pp. 25-51

The development and initial validation results of a micro-simulator for the generation of daily activity-travel patterns are presented in this paper. The simulator assumes a sequential history and time-of-day dependent structure. Its components are developed based on a decomposition of a daily...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005722849