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forecasting rules which generate perfect foresight orbits are approximated by cubic spline functions. These approximations are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005596637
equilibrium stochastic process in which agents forecast optimally given their choices, with the forecasting model parameters and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464110
are assumed to underparameterize their forecasting models. A Misspecification Equilibrium arises when beliefs are optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464125
This paper analyzes conditions for existence of a strongly rational expectations equilibrium (SREE) in models with private information, where the amount of private information is endogenously determined. It is shown that the conditions for existence of a SREE known from models with exogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345354
Most studies of optimal monetary policy under learning rely on optimality conditions derived for the case when agents have rational expectations. In this paper, we derive optimal monetary policy in an economy where the Central Bank knows, and makes active use of, the learning algorithm agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005404543
We provide conditions for local stability and instability of an equilibrium point in certain systems of nonautonomous nonstochastic difference equations. In the systems under study the influence of time is present through a positive scalar "gain" parameter which converges in the limit to zero....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005371114
Most studies of optimal monetary policy under learning rely on optimality conditions derived for the case when agents have rational expectations. In this paper, we derive optimal monetary policy in an economy where the Central Bank knows, and makes active use of, the learning algorithm agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494352
are assumed to underparameterize their forecasting models. A Misspecification Equilibrium arises when beliefs are optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069600
We derive the optimal monetary policy in a sticky price model when private agents follow adaptive learning. We show that this slight departure from rationality has important implications for policy design. The central bank faces a new intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143742
This Paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in the face of aggregate shocks. The payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661497