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We establish a class of fully nonlinear conditional expectations. Similarly to the usage of linear expectations when a probabilistic description of uncertainty is present, we observe analogue quantitative and qualitative properties. The type of nonlinearity captures the agents sentiments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477162
We establish a class of fully nonlinear conditional expectations. Similarly to the usage of linear expectations when a probabilistic description of uncertainty is present, we observe analogue quantitative and qualitative properties. The type of nonlinearity captures the agents sentiments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011158363
The alpha-maxmin model is a prominent example of preferences under Knightian uncertainty as it allows to distinguish ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. These preferences are dynamically inconsistent for nontrivial versions of ». In this paper, we derive a recursive, dynamically consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042132
The alpha-maxmin model is a prominent example of preferences under Knightian uncertainty as it allows to distinguish ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. These preferences are dynamically inconsistent for nontrivial versions of α. In this paper, we derive a recursive, dynamically consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892184
This paper proves that the (negative) certainty equivalent (CE) in reference-dependent decision theories (such as Prospect Theory) always satisfies the well-known axiomatic characterisation of a monetary risk measure, although in rational Expected Utility Theory this only holds in special cases....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405991
This paper develops a weighted additive model for certainty equivalents of binary gambles with a segregation form, in the sense that they are decomposition into sure gains and risky gambles. The effect of adding a sure gain to the preference for a risky gamble is considered to be evaluated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010688373
This paper considers a time-inconsistent stopping problem in which the inconsistency arises from non-constant time preference rates. We show that the smooth pasting principle, the main approach that has been used to construct explicit solutions for conventional time-consistent optimal stopping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915935
In this paper, the problem of inconsistent dynamic choice is discussed, as considered in the literature, both under certainty in the context of changing preferences, and under risk and uncertainty in the case of preference orderings which violate expected utility theory. The problem of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256214
The paper derives the optimal carbon tax in closed-form from an integrated assessment of climate change. The formula shows how carbon, temperature, and economic dynamics quantify the optimal mitigation effort. The model's descriptive power is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430
Using the new macro data on risk aversion and patience by Falk et al. (2018), I show that risk aversion and patience are related to intelligence: high-IQ populations are more patient and more risk averse than low-IQ populations. The correlation between patience and intelligence corroborates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983682