This Selected Issues paper analyzes trends in Tunisian inflation. It computes measures of core inflation, and develops a simple framework for forecasting inflation. The paper econometrically estimates the degree of exchange rate pass-through in Tunisia. The methodology relies on time series and...

The report gives details of the economic analysis for the implementation of Chile's inflation targeting framework. It reviews the current state of liquidity in the Chilean fixed-income markets and developments and impediments to the supply of corporate bonds to the market. The paper considers a...

South Africa showed strong macroeconomic performance owing to its sound policies, which aimed at raising economic growth and reducing poverty, within a stable macroeconomic, social, and political environment. Executive Directors commended the strong economic performance, sustainable fiscal...

Barbados' economy continued to grow, but macroeconomic imbalances worsened. Executive Directors observed that the imbalances are owed to a procyclical fiscal stance, and advised to tighten monetary policy and safeguard the fixed exchange rate regime as an anchor of macroeconomic stability. They...

Belarus’s economy has performed well owing to its strong macroeconomic policies, which facilitated rapid real income growth, near-full employment, and a reduction in poverty to the lowest level in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Executive Directors welcomed the disciplined...

Burundi is emerging from more than a decade of civil conflict that started with the 1993 coup d’état against its first elected government. Macroeconomic developments in 2005 were broadly in line with the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) program, although growth was lower at about...

Cambodia achieved macroeconomic stability underpinned by prudent fiscal and monetary policies. Executive Directors commended this development. They welcomed the National Strategic Development Plan for reducing poverty, enhancing physical infrastructure, and improving social services. They...

Gabon continues to enjoy record high oil prices, buoying both exports and government revenues. The critical medium-term challenge facing Gabon is managing the transition from an economy highly dependent on oil to a diversified economy that harnesses private sector initiative, and makes decisive...

This Selected Issues paper for Vietnam reports that the framework for policy lending in Vietnam, in conjunction with the active consideration of proposals to enhance the operational autonomy of policy-lending institutions, poses significant risks. The current framework does not adequately...

This paper presents a simple structural model of inflation adapted for Nigeria based on the methodology of Berg, Karam, and Laxton. This approach allows different policy options to be considered systematically in a baseline forecasting exercise. The development and calibration of this model are...