Xie, Haibin; Sun, Yuying; Fan, Pengying - In: Financial innovation : FIN 9 (2023) 1, pp. 1-16
This paper derives a new decomposition of stock returns using price extremes and proposes a conditional autoregressive shape (CARS) model with beta density to predict the direction of stock returns. The CARS model is continuously valued, which makes it different from binary classification...