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We analyse the importance of macroeconomic information, such as industrial production index and oil price, for forecasting daily electricity prices in two of the main European markets, Germany and Italy. We do that by means of mixed-frequency models, introducing a Bayesian approach to reverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890163
before the estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169776
shocks are driven by a stochastic volatility model. We show that our nonparametric approach improves in terms of tail … stochastic volatility, and the simple random walk. We illustrate the practical relevance of our new approach by tracking the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
This research analyzes the relationship between the carbon and the energy market. These two markets are linked together on a regulatory and on a structural basis. The energy sector is the most important industry within the European Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS): as main producers of carbon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204035
This paper presents estimates of the economic benefit of air quality improvements in Europe that occur as a side effect of GHG emission reductions. We consider three climate policy scenarios that reach radiative forcing levels in 2100 of three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348896
This paper presents estimates of the economic benefit of air quality improvements in Europe that occur as a side effect of GHG emission reductions. We consider three climate policy scenarios that reach radiative forcing levels in 2100 of three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001462
The daily average price of electricity represents the price of electricity to be delivered over the full next day and serves as a key reference price in the electricity market. It is an aggregate that equals the average of hourly prices for delivery during each of the 24 individual hours. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081913
Given the emerging consensus from previous studies that crude oil and refined product (as well as crack spread) prices are cointegrated, this study examines the link between the crude oil spot and crack spread derivatives markets. Specifically, the usefulness of the two crack spread derivatives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023098