This paper examines the hypothesis that the boom in dollar credit in the emerging market economies is associated with excessively low interest rate in the US. For this purpose, we use a multivariate correlated unobserved component model that allows for correlation between shocks to dollar...

This paper studies the dynamic relationship between public and private commercial real estate market in the U.S. To do so, we propose a correlatedcunobserved component model with a common trend and Markov-Switching heteroscedasticity. This model addresses the dichotomy in the relationship...

Given the rising importance of non-financial corporate overseas debt issuance in the overall international capital flow activities, this paper tries to understand the determinants of corporate overseas bond issuance in 32 countries during the sample period 1993-2015. The results suggest that the...

This paper evaluates the ability of various indicators related to macroeconomic fundamentals, credit conditions, and housing supply to predict house price growth in the United States during the post-financial crisis period. We find that the inclusion of different measures of housing supply...

This paper investigates the persistent racial disparities in homeownership and wealth creation in Milwaukee. Despite past efforts, homeownership rates for Black and Hispanic households remain significantly lower compared to White households, contributing to wealth inequalities. We develop a...

This study shows that, in a model with non-separable preferences for durable and non-durable goods, the effect of relative prices on the ratio of consumption for the two goods, known as the intratemporal elasticity of substitution, has decreased in the U.S. since 1981. We found that durable and...

This paper explores the effects of India's adoption of inflation targeting (IT) as a monetary policy framework in 2016 on long-term inflation expectations in the private sector. Using data from 2010 to 2022, including inflation forecasts from professional forecasters and an inflation sentiment...

This paper utilizes Greenbook forecasts of consumption and income to predict expected asset returns through a present-value model of consumption. The study finds that, despite the valuable information contained in Greenbook forecasts, the expected asset returns obtained from this approach do not...

In this paper we examine house price synchronization in 15 global cities using real house price data from 1995:Q1-2020:Q2. We find that although there is evidence for bilateral positive phase synchronization, there is no evidence for an integrated global housing market for our sample of cities....

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual inflation and inflation target, into predictable and...