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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015045615
Adverse weather related risk is a main source of crop production loss and a big concern for agricultural insurers and reinsurers. In response, weather risk hedging may be valuable, however, due to basis risk it has been largely unsuccessful to date. This research proposes the Levy subordinated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903939
-Gaussian (Kalman) filter. Crucially, consistent estimation does not require differencing the data despite it being cointegrated of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669132
This paper proposes two consistent model selection procedures for factor-augmented regressions in finite samples. We first demonstrate that the usual cross-validation is inconsistent, but that a generalization, leave-d-out cross-validation, selects the smallest basis for the space spanned by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756075
An accurate assessment of tail inequalities and tail asymmetries of financial returns is key for risk management and portfolio allocation. We propose a new test procedure for detecting the full extent of such structural differences in the dependence of bivariate extreme returns. We decompose the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958215
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314788
The risk of infrastructure investments is driven by unique factors that cannot be well described by standard asset class factor models. We thus create a nine-factor model based on infrastructure-specific risk exposure, i.e., market risk, size, value, momentum, cashflow volatility, leverage,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410032
EM-algorithm is developed for estimation. Each element of the vector return at time t is endowed with a common univariate … volatility, but without the estimation problems associated with the latter, and being applicable in the multivariate setting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256409
This study attempts analyse the different indices of ‘Bombay Stock Exchange' (BSE) of India, in terms of risk return characteristics and their relatedness and predictibility to address the relavite neglect of past studies. Further it investigates the volatility impact of different sub indices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100510
We postulate that utilizing return prediction models with fundamental, macroeconomic, and technical indicators instead of using historical averages should result in superior asset allocation decisions. We investigate the predictive power of individual variables for forecasting industry returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937630