is described using a stochastic regime-switching model; second, the euro area governments’ responses to uncertain … macroeconomic policies in Greece are considered. The model's mechanism and assumptions allow either for a Grexit from the euro area … understand key drivers of the long-winded negotiations between the Syiza government and the euro area governments. …

The consensus back in 2008 – ten years after the introduction of the euro – was that the adoption of a common currency … had made a limited impact of around 2% in total on the trade flows of the first wave of euro area countries (Baldwin et al …., 2008). Since then, six more countries have joined the euro area, and firms have internationalised their production …