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The aim of this paper is to analyse the out-of-sample performance of SETAR models using daily data for the Euro effective exchange rate. The evaluation is conducted on point, interval and density forecasts. The benchmark used for the comparison is a linear AR model for point forecast evaluation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005577104
In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling nonlinearities and asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare the forecasting performance of different models for the returns of three of the most traded exchange rates in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635607
The hypothesis that futures price is an unbiased predictor of the future spot price has been oneof the most controversial topics in the empirical literature on market efficiency. The conflictingresults provided so far are not robust to the time period considered or to the econometricmethod...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005869193
Futures market efficiency has been one of the most researched topics for a number of years.The huge amount of results produced, highly dependent on the econometric techniquesadopted and on the time period analysed, are often conflicting: for a given market, someauthors find evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005869194
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Free patient mobility among autonomous providers has been often considered an effective stimulus for enhancing healthcare. However, some jurisdictions may underperform due to the existence of economies of scale and spatial spillovers. Where regions assume the costs of providing care to...
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